Transformação estrutural e produtividade setorial na Costa Rica
Palavras-chave:
produtividade, transformação estrutural, produtividade setorial
Resumo
Este trabalho documenta o processo de transformação estrutural experimentado pela Costa Rica a partir de 1950 e pelas seis décadas seguintes. Assim como tem sido amplamente documentado na literatura, os países que aumentam a renda de seus habitantes geralmente experimentam uma realocação de trabalho do setor agrícola para o setor manufatureiro e o setor de serviços. Para a Costa Rica, existe um padrão semelhante que, no entanto, tem particularidades que serão discutidas em profundidade. Este documento apresenta exercícios contracfatuais que tomam como ponto de partida o modelo de Duarte & Restuccia (2010), calibrado com informações atualizadas para a Costa Rica e os Estados Unidos.
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Referências
Abarca, A & Ramírez, S. (2016). Estudio del crecimiento económico costarricense, 1960-2014. Observatorio del Desarrollo, Universidad de Costa Rica. Recuperado de http://www.odd.ucr.ac.cr/sites/default/files/Documents/Crecimiento-Economico/Estudio-del-Crecimiento-Economico.pdf
Heston, A., Summers, R. & Aten, B. (2012). Penn World Table version 7.1. Center for international comparisons of production, income and prices at the University of Pennsylvania. Recuperado de https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/productivity/pwt/pwt-releases/pwt-7.1
Comin, D., Lashkari, D., & Mestieri, M. (2015). Structural change with long run income and price effects. Technical report. Recuperado de https://www.nber.org/papers/w21595
Duarte, M. & Restuccia, D. (2007). The structural transformation and aggregate productivity in Portugal. Portuguese Economic Journal, 6(1), 23–46.
Duarte, M. & Restuccia, D. (2010). The role of the structural transformation in aggregate productivity. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 125(1), 129–173.
Feenstra, Robert C., Incklaar, R. & Timmer, M. P. (2013). The next generation of the Penn World Table. Recuperado de www.ggdc.net/pwt.
Klenow, P. & Rodríguez-Clare, A. (1997). The Neoclassical Revival in Growth Economics: Has It Gone Too Far? In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997 (Volume 12, NBER Chapters, pp. 73–114). National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Recuperado de https://www.nber.org/chapters/c11037
McMillan, M. S. & Rodrik, D. (2011). Globalization, Structural Change and Productivity Growth. NBER Working Papers 17143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Recuperado de https://www.nber.org/papers/w17143.pdf
Ngai, L. R. & Pissarides, C. A. (2007). Structural change in a multisector model of growth. The American Economic Review, 97(1), 429–443. Recuperado de http://personal.lse.ac.uk/ngai/np.pdf
O’Mahony, M. & Timmer, M. P. (2009). Output, input and productivity measures at the industry level: The EU KLEMS Database. The Economic Journal, 119(538), F374–F403. Recuperado de https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2009.02280.x
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. (2018). OECD Economic Survey of Costa Rica: Research Findings on Productivity, OECD Publishing, Paris.
Robles, E. (2018). Análisis del crecimiento de la productividad en Costa Rica, 2001-2015. Mimeo, Universidad de Costa Rica.
Mulder, N., Patiño-Pascumal, I. & Monge-González, R. (2016). Análisis del crecimiento de la productividad en Costa Rica, 2001-2015. Estado de la Nación. Recuperado de https://estadonacion.or.cr/files/biblioteca_virtual/022/Oportunidades/Mulder_et_al_2016.pdf
Rodríguez-Clare, A., Sáenz, M., & Trejos, A. (2003). Análisis del crecimiento en Costa Rica. Serie Estudios Económicos y Sectoriales, RE2-03-001, IADB.
Rogerson, R. (2008). Structural transformation and the deterioration of european labor market outcomes. Journal of Political Economy, 116(2), 235–259. doi: https://doi.org/10.1086/588029
The Conference Board. (2014). Total economy database. Recuperado de http://www.conferenceboard.org/data/economydatabase/
Timmer, M., de Vries, G., & de Vries, K. (2014). Patterns of structural change in developing countries. GGDC Research Memorandum 149. Recuperado de http://www.ggdc.net/publications/memorandum/gd149.pdf
Heston, A., Summers, R. & Aten, B. (2012). Penn World Table version 7.1. Center for international comparisons of production, income and prices at the University of Pennsylvania. Recuperado de https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/productivity/pwt/pwt-releases/pwt-7.1
Comin, D., Lashkari, D., & Mestieri, M. (2015). Structural change with long run income and price effects. Technical report. Recuperado de https://www.nber.org/papers/w21595
Duarte, M. & Restuccia, D. (2007). The structural transformation and aggregate productivity in Portugal. Portuguese Economic Journal, 6(1), 23–46.
Duarte, M. & Restuccia, D. (2010). The role of the structural transformation in aggregate productivity. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 125(1), 129–173.
Feenstra, Robert C., Incklaar, R. & Timmer, M. P. (2013). The next generation of the Penn World Table. Recuperado de www.ggdc.net/pwt.
Klenow, P. & Rodríguez-Clare, A. (1997). The Neoclassical Revival in Growth Economics: Has It Gone Too Far? In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997 (Volume 12, NBER Chapters, pp. 73–114). National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Recuperado de https://www.nber.org/chapters/c11037
McMillan, M. S. & Rodrik, D. (2011). Globalization, Structural Change and Productivity Growth. NBER Working Papers 17143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Recuperado de https://www.nber.org/papers/w17143.pdf
Ngai, L. R. & Pissarides, C. A. (2007). Structural change in a multisector model of growth. The American Economic Review, 97(1), 429–443. Recuperado de http://personal.lse.ac.uk/ngai/np.pdf
O’Mahony, M. & Timmer, M. P. (2009). Output, input and productivity measures at the industry level: The EU KLEMS Database. The Economic Journal, 119(538), F374–F403. Recuperado de https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2009.02280.x
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. (2018). OECD Economic Survey of Costa Rica: Research Findings on Productivity, OECD Publishing, Paris.
Robles, E. (2018). Análisis del crecimiento de la productividad en Costa Rica, 2001-2015. Mimeo, Universidad de Costa Rica.
Mulder, N., Patiño-Pascumal, I. & Monge-González, R. (2016). Análisis del crecimiento de la productividad en Costa Rica, 2001-2015. Estado de la Nación. Recuperado de https://estadonacion.or.cr/files/biblioteca_virtual/022/Oportunidades/Mulder_et_al_2016.pdf
Rodríguez-Clare, A., Sáenz, M., & Trejos, A. (2003). Análisis del crecimiento en Costa Rica. Serie Estudios Económicos y Sectoriales, RE2-03-001, IADB.
Rogerson, R. (2008). Structural transformation and the deterioration of european labor market outcomes. Journal of Political Economy, 116(2), 235–259. doi: https://doi.org/10.1086/588029
The Conference Board. (2014). Total economy database. Recuperado de http://www.conferenceboard.org/data/economydatabase/
Timmer, M., de Vries, G., & de Vries, K. (2014). Patterns of structural change in developing countries. GGDC Research Memorandum 149. Recuperado de http://www.ggdc.net/publications/memorandum/gd149.pdf
Publicado
2019-03-13
Como Citar
Alfaro Ureña, A., & Vindas Quesada, A. (2019). Transformação estrutural e produtividade setorial na Costa Rica. Economía Y Sociedad, 24(55), 53-77. https://doi.org/10.15359/eys.24-55.4
Seção
Artigos (seção arbitrada)
