What does the future hold? Historical climate analysis and projection of future climatic scenarios for the andean canton of Pedro Moncayo, Ecuador

Authors

  • Natali Cáceres-Arteaga, Doctor Universidad Central del Ecuador, Ecuador
  • Oscar Ayala-Campaña, Ingeniero Instituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología, Ecuador, Ecuador
  • Darwin Rosero-Vaca, Ingeniero Instituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología, Ecuador, Ecuador
  • K. Maria D. Lane, Doctora University of New Mexico, United States

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15359/rgac.61-3.15

Keywords:

climate change, historical variability, scales, Ecuador.

Abstract

The natural and anthropogenic variations of climate systems are increasingly evident. Climate change has become the central theme of research for decision making at all levels. The principal objective of the current research is to identify the evidence of change in certain climatic elements, such as precipitation and temperature at the local scale in Pedro Moncayo, Ecuador. The study uses records from 1981-2017 produced by 126 meteorological stations of the National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology closest to the study area. Geographical Information Systems were used for statistical analysis and geographical representation. This is the first study that presents climate scenarios at local scale in Ecuador, It aims to be a contribution for the scientific community, but especially for vulnerable communities in their planning processes and strengthening their adaptation capacity.

Author Biographies

Natali Cáceres-Arteaga, Doctor, Universidad Central del Ecuador

Natali Cáceres-Arteaga, PhD(c), Universidad Central del Ecuador, Ecuador. dncaceres@uce.edu.ec

Oscar Ayala-Campaña, Ingeniero, Instituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología, Ecuador

Ing. Oscar Ayala, Instituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología, Ecuador. oayala@inamhi.gob.ec

Darwin Rosero-Vaca, Ingeniero, Instituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología, Ecuador

Ing. Darwin Rosero, Instituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología, Ecuador. drosero@inamhi.gob.ec

K. Maria D. Lane, Doctora, University of New Mexico

 K. Maria D. Lane, PhD, University of New Mexico.  mdlane@unm.edu

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Published

2018-11-23

How to Cite

Cáceres-Arteaga, N., Ayala-Campaña, O., Rosero-Vaca, D., & D. Lane, K. M. (2018). What does the future hold? Historical climate analysis and projection of future climatic scenarios for the andean canton of Pedro Moncayo, Ecuador. Geographical Journal of Central America, 3(61E), 297-318. https://doi.org/10.15359/rgac.61-3.15

Issue

Vol. 3 No. 61E (2018): Revista Geográfica de América Central

Section

Case studies (Peer reviewed)

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How to Cite

Cáceres-Arteaga, N., Ayala-Campaña, O., Rosero-Vaca, D., & D. Lane, K. M. (2018). What does the future hold? Historical climate analysis and projection of future climatic scenarios for the andean canton of Pedro Moncayo, Ecuador. Geographical Journal of Central America, 3(61E), 297-318. https://doi.org/10.15359/rgac.61-3.15

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