Aplicación de la simulación Monte Carlo en la administración de proyectos utilizando Excel y @Crystal Ball (ING)

  • Carlos Azofeifa Escuela de Matemática, Universidad Nacional, Heredia, Costa Rica. Escuela de Matemática, Universidad de Costa Rica, San Pedro, Costa Rica
Keywords: Monte Carlo, critical route, projects administration, critical path, times estimate, risk analysis.

Abstract

Simulation Monte Carlo is an effective technique used to analyze the critical path in a project, this simulation will be used to estimate the probability of finishing the project on time. Monte Carlo is necessary due to the hight uncertainty showed in the estimations of time operations from the differents activities in the project. For facility the calculations, @Crystal Ball software is a popular spreadsheet add-in used for simulations and risk analysis.
Published
2002-01-01
How to Cite
Azofeifa, C. (2002). Aplicación de la simulación Monte Carlo en la administración de proyectos utilizando Excel y @Crystal Ball (ING). Uniciencia, 19(1), 23-30. Retrieved from https://www.revistas.una.ac.cr/index.php/uniciencia/article/view/5717
Section
Original scientific papers (evaluated by academic peers)